Our calls, graded in public.

• Foghorn

  Our calls
  60%42 that moved
• Just guessing up

  Calling every stock up, on the same days
  64%42 that movedBehind
• Coin flip

  Up or down at random, fixed by each call's fingerprint so anyone can redo it
  45%42 that movedAhead
• Following the last week

  Calling the way the stock moved in the 5 days before
  60%42 that movedLevel
• Following the sector

  Calling the way its industry moved in the 5 days before
  76%42 that movedBehind
• The AI's read on its own

  The AI's up or down from the news alone, where it read the story · Foghorn 61% on these calls
  61%41 that movedLevel

With 42 calls where the stock moved, Foghorn's true hit rate is likely between 44% and 73% (95% range). It narrows as more calls are graded.

• When it said “a bit better than even”98 that moved
  Said about 54%, right 62% of the time
• When it said “about 6 in 10”11 that moved
  Said about 58%, right 64% of the time

The bar is how often calls came true; the black mark is what they said. Groups with few calls swing a lot.